2026 Assembly Election Watch

The Final Frontier: Kerala Assembly 2026.

In 2024, the NDA led in 11 of Kerala's 140 assembly segments within Lok Sabha constituencies. In 2025, they won the capital city's corporation. The 2026 Kerala Assembly election is the next frontier — and the data says it will be the closest NDA performance yet.

Results go live here after April 9, 2026

This page will update in real-time with constituency-wise results as they are declared. Until then, explore our pre-election analysis, seats to watch, and the projection engine.

11+
Projected Seats
Baseline estimate (2025 momentum)
11
Constituencies Led
NDA led in 2024 Lok Sabha segments
2–3%
Swing Needed
To flip the 6 near-miss seats
15
Seats to Watch
Constituencies with <5% gap in 2021

Seats to Watch

6 seats

Nemom

High priority
Thiruvananthapuram District

BJP's only Assembly seat (2016). Lost in 2021 by 3,949. Redemption target.

2021 Margin–3,949

Thrissur

Strong potential
Thrissur District

NDA won Lok Sabha 2024 here by 74,686. Assembly segments must convert.

2021 Margin–6,200 est.

Palakkad

High priority
Palakkad District

Sreedharan near-miss 2021 (–3,859). NDA's strongest central Kerala push.

2021 Margin–3,859

Kasaragod

Watching closely
Kasaragod District

Northern stronghold. 25% vote share in 2024 LS. First north Kerala seat possible.

2021 Margin–4,100 est.

Manjeshwar

Watching closely
Kasaragod District

89-vote near-miss in 2016. Consistent strong finish.

2021 Margin–5,200 est.

Attingal

Rising seat
Thiruvananthapuram District

TVM district expansion post-2025 corporation win. Ripple effect target.

2021 Margin–7,800 est.

Interactive Tool

Run the 2026 Election Sandbox

Adjust turnout assumptions and swing estimates to project the NDA seat count. Based on 2025 local body data and 2024 Lok Sabha segment leads.

Open Sandbox